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English(EN) Identifiable Markov Switching Models with Instantaneous Effects and Exponential Families

新框架FlowMSM识别非平稳时间序列中的因果结构

研究人员开发了一个名为FlowMSM的新框架,以应对识别非平稳时间序列数据中潜在状态和因果结构的挑战。该框架旨在处理复杂的动态,包括非线性和非高斯行为,以及变量之间的瞬时效应。该方法为潜在状态和依赖于状态的因果结构建立了理论可识别性,并在合成基准和金融经济学数据集上证明了其有效性。 AI

影响 提供了一种分析复杂时间序列数据的新方法,有可能改进金融、气候科学和医疗保健领域的应用。

排序理由 该集群包含一篇详细介绍新统计模型和框架的学术论文。

在 arXiv stat.ML 阅读 →

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报道来源 [2]

  1. arXiv stat.ML TIER_1 English(EN) · Roel Hulsman, Carles Balsells-Rodas, Sara Magliacane ·

    具有瞬时效应和指数族的识别马尔可夫转换模型

    arXiv:2606.02231v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal systems often exhibit non-stationary behaviour, such as seasonal climate variation or glucose fluctuations in patients with type-1 diabetes. One way to model non-stationarity is through discrete latent regimes, i.e., statio…

  2. arXiv stat.ML TIER_1 English(EN) · Sara Magliacane ·

    Identifiable Markov Switching Models with Instantaneous Effects and Exponential Families

    Temporal systems often exhibit non-stationary behaviour, such as seasonal climate variation or glucose fluctuations in patients with type-1 diabetes. One way to model non-stationarity is through discrete latent regimes, i.e., stationary segments of time. Such systems induce a Mar…