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English(EN) First-Order Trajectory Matching: Fast Ensemble Predictions of Chaotic, Turbulent, Stochastic Systems

新的FTM方法为复杂系统提供快速、准确的预测

研究人员开发了一种名为一阶轨迹匹配(FTM)的新代理建模方法,用于预测混沌、湍流和随机系统。FTM直接从系统轨迹中学习概率质量的局部传输,使其能够捕获通量和环流等基本量。这种方法避免了漂移、扩散和分数估计等复杂估计,以低计算成本提供稳定高效的集成预测。 AI

影响 引入了一种改进混沌和随机系统预测的新方法,可能影响科学模拟和预测。

排序理由 这是一篇详细介绍预测复杂系统新方法的学术论文。[lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=0.7]

在 arXiv cs.LG 阅读 →

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报道来源 [2]

  1. arXiv cs.LG TIER_1 English(EN) · Shreya Jha, Timo Schorlepp, Nicholas Geissler, Jules Berman, Benjamin Peherstorfer ·

    First-Order Trajectory Matching: Fast Ensemble Predictions of Chaotic, Turbulent, Stochastic Systems

    arXiv:2606.11138v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce First-Order Trajectory Matching (FTM), a surrogate-modeling method that learns the first-order local transport of probability mass from trajectories of stochastic systems. By matching the symmetric first-order motion of…

  2. arXiv cs.LG TIER_1 English(EN) · Benjamin Peherstorfer ·

    First-Order Trajectory Matching: Fast Ensemble Predictions of Chaotic, Turbulent, Stochastic Systems

    We introduce First-Order Trajectory Matching (FTM), a surrogate-modeling method that learns the first-order local transport of probability mass from trajectories of stochastic systems. By matching the symmetric first-order motion of trajectories, FTM learns the probability curren…