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English(EN) Recursive forecasting: Eliciting long-term forecasts from myopic fitness-seekers

AI研究人员提出递归预测,以从近视模型中引出长期预测

一项名为“递归预测”的新提案旨在从主要为短期奖励进行优化的AI模型中引出准确的长期预测。该方法不是直接询问遥远的结果,而是要求AI预测其自身的未来预测,并利用这些中间预测来提供奖励。这个过程创建了一个可验证的短期预测链,最终导致更可靠的长期预测。该方法由Arun和Alex在一篇博文中详细介绍,其他几位研究人员也做出了贡献。 AI

影响 该方法可以提高AI在长期规划和决策中的预测可靠性。

排序理由 这是一篇提出AI对齐新方法的论文。

在 LessWrong (AI tag) 阅读 →

AI 生成摘要 · Google Gemini · 来自 2 个来源。 我们如何撰写摘要 →

AI研究人员提出递归预测,以从近视模型中引出长期预测

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这是一篇提出AI对齐新方法的论文。
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报道来源 [2]

  1. Alignment Forum TIER_1 English(EN) · Jozdien ·

    递归预测:从近视的适应者那里引出长期预测

    <p><span>We’d like to use powerful AIs to answer questions that may take a long time to resolve. But if a model only cares about performing well in ways that are verifiable shortly after answering (e.g., a myopic </span><a href="https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bhtYqD4FdK6AqhFDF/f…

  2. LessWrong (AI tag) TIER_1 English(EN) · Jozdien ·

    递归预测:从短视的适应性追求者那里引出长期预测

    <p><span>We’d like to use powerful AIs to answer questions that may take a long time to resolve. But if a model only cares about performing well in ways that are verifiable shortly after answering (e.g., a myopic </span><a href="https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/bhtYqD4FdK6AqhFDF/f…