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Fusion power cost declines may be slower than anticipated, study suggests

New research published in Nature Energy suggests that fusion power may not become significantly cheaper over time, contrary to optimistic projections. The study estimates fusion's "experience rate"—the cost reduction per capacity doubling—to be between 2% and 8%, much lower than the 8% to 20% often assumed in current models. This slower cost decline, driven by fusion's complexity and size, could mean that electricity from fusion plants remains expensive for a considerable period. The findings prompt questions about current investment levels in fusion, especially concerning its role in decarbonization efforts. AI

排序理由 Research paper published in Nature Energy analyzing the future cost of fusion power.

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Fusion power cost declines may be slower than anticipated, study suggests

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  1. MIT Technology Review TIER_1 English(EN) · Casey Crownhart ·

    Will fusion power get cheap? Don’t count on it.

    Fusion power could provide a steady, zero-emissions source of electricity in the future—if companies can get plants built and running. But a new study suggests that even if that future arrives, it might not come cheap. Technologies tend to get less expensive over time. Lithium-io…