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中文(ZH) 中金:美联储年内或难以降息

CICC: US Fed unlikely to cut rates this year amid inflation concerns

A recent report from CICC suggests that the US Federal Reserve may not be able to cut interest rates this year due to persistent inflation and a stable job market. Inflation is expected to remain above the Fed's 2% target, with PCE inflation projected above 3.5% and core PCE above 3%. This cautious stance from the Fed could impact the storage chip sector, which is currently experiencing a boom driven by AI computing power demand and rising domestic production rates. The storage chip sector has seen significant gains, with the Wind storage concept index rising nearly 4% recently. AI

影响 AI computing power demand is a key driver for the storage chip market's current boom, indicating a significant impact on hardware infrastructure.

排序理由 The cluster contains an analysis report from CICC regarding potential US Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and its impact on the storage chip market, which is not a direct event but an analysis of economic factors.

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  1. 36氪 (36Kr) TIER_1 中文(ZH) ·

    CICC: Fed unlikely to cut rates this year

    36氪获悉,中金公司最新研报指出,近期多项美国通胀数据超预期,就业市场则趋于稳定。债券出现抛售,市场对通胀的担忧持续升温。与此同时,美伊和平谈判未见实质性进展,霍尔木兹海峡仍处于事实封闭状态,能源价格上行风险难以消退。基准情形下,中金预计美国PCE通胀全年或将维持在3.5%以上,核心PCE通胀将在3%以上,均显著高于美联储2%的政策目标。在此背景下,美联储政策立场将转为更加审慎的方向,年内或难以进一步降息(此前预计下一次降息在第四季度)。