METR/RSI 的一份最新报告表明，通用人工智能（ASI）的到来可能比之前预期的要早得多。预测者们已大幅缩短了他们的时间表，许多人现在预测 ASI 将在一年内到来，而之前的估计是六年。人工智能进展的这种快速加速让许多专家感到意外。 AI
影响 表明人工智能发展可能迅速加速，影响未来的规划和研究。
排序理由 该集群讨论的是专家对人工智能进展的意见和预测，而不是直接的发布或事件。
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人工智能进展加速，预测者将 ASI 时间表缩短至一年
本文如何被排名
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- 该集群讨论的是专家对人工智能进展的意见和预测，而不是直接的发布或事件。
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完整方法见我们的编辑标准。
报道来源 [1]
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顶尖预测者再次低估了人工智能的进步。由于METR/RSI报告，许多人已将ASI时间表从6年缩短至1年。
<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/OpenAI/comments/1xtojb4/once_again_top_forecasters_have_underestimated_ai/"> <img alt="Once again, top forecasters have underestimated AI progress. Due to the METR/RSI report, many have dropped their ASI timelines from 6 years to…