Eliezer Yudkowsky 在 LessWrong 上发表的文章讨论了“贝叶斯主义者不会预测性更新”的概念，并将该概念的普及归功于 Robin Hanson。文章深入探讨了这个想法在贝叶斯推理框架内的含义。 AI
影响 讨论了贝叶斯推理中的一个理论概念，为理性思维过程提供了见解。
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Yudkowsky 探讨 Robin Hanson 的贝叶斯更新概念
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你听说过“贝叶斯主义者不会预测性更新”是因为罗宾·汉森
<p><span style="white-space: pre-wrap;">Robin Hanson didn't invent the idea of a martingale process. The lilim say that Ville in 1939 gave the term its mathematical meaning and Doob turned it into the modern theory. But to state this is not to realize that your own probability as…