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English(EN) Beyond MSE: Rethinking the Evaluation Metric and Benchmarking for Irregular Time Series Forecasting

新研究通过先进模型应对不规则时间序列预测挑战 · 跟踪 5 个来源

研究人员正在探索新方法来改进不规则时间序列预测,这是医疗保健和天气预报等领域的一项关键任务。几篇近期论文提出了应对稀疏数据、非均匀采样和概念漂移等挑战的新方法。其中包括用于去偏神经基函数响应的 DNBNet 模型,一个用于处理重复概念漂移的连续演化池 (CEP) 框架,以及通过对时间异质性建模和对齐表示来调整大型语言模型 (LLM) 的 TALON 框架。此外,还引入了一个名为 F-LLM 的控制理论框架,通过减轻误差累积来确保基于 LLM 的预测的稳定性。 AI

影响 这些进步可能带来医疗保健和金融等关键领域的更准确预测,从而改善决策和资源分配。

排序理由 多篇学术论文在 arXiv 上发表,提出了时间序列预测的新方法和框架。

在 Hugging Face Daily Papers 阅读 →

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新研究通过先进模型应对不规则时间序列预测挑战 · 跟踪 5 个来源

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多篇学术论文在 arXiv 上发表,提出了时间序列预测的新方法和框架。
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报道来源 [7]

  1. arXiv cs.AI TIER_1 English(EN) · Jiazhe Wang, Zhiquan Huang, Linjing Xue, Ming Liu, Meiwen Li, Ruijuan Zheng ·

    基于语义结构化分区的多变量时间序列预测的补丁方法再思考

    arXiv:2608.19966v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) is a fundamental task in many real world applications. Existing patch based forecasting methods generally fall into three categories: fixed partitioning, multi-scale partitioning, and exte…

  2. arXiv cs.AI TIER_1 English(EN) · Rongwen Li, Changjian Chen ·

    从基函数视角重思不规则时间序列预测

    arXiv:2608.17284v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Irregular time series forecasting is crucial in many domains, such as healthcare and meteorological observation. However, due to the inherent characteristics of irregular time series, including sparse observations and non-uniform …

  3. arXiv cs.AI TIER_1 English(EN) · Rongwen Li, Haixin Xie, Xiao Wang, Changjian Chen ·

    超越MSE:重新思考不规则时间序列预测的评估指标和基准测试

    arXiv:2608.17293v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Existing research on irregular time-series forecasting has primarily focused on model design, while evaluation metrics remain insufficiently studied. Existing benchmarks typically use mean squared error (MSE) as the evaluation met…

  4. arXiv cs.LG TIER_1 English(EN) · Tianxiang Zhan, Ming Jin, Yuanpeng He, Yuxuan Liang, Shirui Pan ·

    持续演化池:在线时间序列预测中抑制循环概念漂移

    arXiv:2506.14790v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recurring concept drift is pervasive in real-world online time series, where the underlying data-generating process repeatedly alternates between a small set of regimes, most notably daily or seasonal cycles that dominate energy…

  5. arXiv cs.LG TIER_1 English(EN) · Xingyu Zhang, Jingyao Wang, Zeen Song, Changwen Zheng, Wenwen Qiang ·

    闭环:一种可证明稳定时间序列预测的控制理论框架,用于大型语言模型

    arXiv:2602.12756v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have recently shown exceptional potential in time series forecasting (TSF), leveraging their inherent sequential reasoning capabilities to model complex temporal dynamics. Existing approaches typical…

  6. arXiv cs.AI TIER_1 English(EN) · Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu ·

    通过时序异质性建模和表示对齐使大型语言模型适应时间序列预测

    arXiv:2508.07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks. However, their performance remains const…

  7. Hugging Face Daily Papers TIER_1 English(EN) ·

    超越MSE:重新思考不规则时间序列预测的评估指标和基准测试

    Existing research on irregular time-series forecasting has primarily focused on model design, while evaluation metrics remain insufficiently studied. Existing benchmarks typically use mean squared error (MSE) as the evaluation metric. We show that, in irregular forecasting, MSE i…