English(EN) With release of Deepseek V4 I wanted see how the model sizes are trending over time. The trend is that by this time next year, we probably will have Opus 4.5 level models on consumer grade laptops!

Deepseek V4 发布引发一年内笔记本运行 LLM 的预测

作者 PulseAugur 编辑部 · [1 个来源] · 2026-07-31 18:42

一位 Reddit 用户分析了大型语言模型的大小和性能趋势，指出 Deepseek V4 Flash 非常小巧且功能强大。基于这一观察，他们预测，在未来一年内，与 Anthropic 的 Opus 4.5 相当的模型可能将在消费级笔记本电脑上运行。分析表明，当前模型在尺寸与性能比方面仍有很大的改进空间。 AI

影响预示着强大的 LLM 将在消费级硬件上普及的未来，有可能使先进的 AI 能力民主化。

排序理由用户基于模型发布进行的分析和预测。

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r/LocalLLaMA TIER_1 English(EN) · /u/No-Meringue5867 · 2026-07-31 18:42

With release of Deepseek V4 I wanted see how the model sizes are trending over time. The trend is that by this time next year, we probably will have Opus 4.5 level models on consumer grade laptops!

<table> <tr><td> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/LocalLLaMA/comments/1vbzicu/with_release_of_deepseek_v4_i_wanted_see_how_the/"> <img alt="With release of Deepseek V4 I wanted see how the model sizes are trending over time. The trend is that by this time next year, we probably …

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With release of Deepseek V4 I wanted see how the model sizes are trending over time. The trend is that by this time next year, we probably will have Opus 4.5 level models on consumer grade laptops!

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