English(EN) Japan’s deadliest fault line shifts, frustrating megaquake forecasts

日本南海海槽断层带发生位移，加剧大海啸预测难度

作者 PulseAugur 编辑部 · [1 个来源] · 2026-07-23 07:46

一项日本近期研究表明，南海海槽这一预测大海啸的关键区域的“锁定区”并非永久不变，而是会随时间发生变化。这一发现使预测工作变得复杂，因为菲律宾板块与欧亚板块交汇的区域比之前理解的更具流动性。研究人员利用2013年至2023年的地壳形变数据分析了菲律宾板块的运动和锁定速率，表明一些区域保持持续锁定，而另一些区域则更具动态性。 AI

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报道来源 [1]

SCMP — Tech TIER_1 English(EN) · SCMP’s Asia desk · 2026-07-23 07:46

日本最致命断层线发生位移，令超级地震预测受挫

A Japanese study has found that the locked zone in the Nankai Trough is not permanent but changes over time, further complicating the task of predicting megaquakes along the fault line. A locked zone is where tectonic plates merge, allowing stress to build up until it is released…

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日本最致命断层线发生位移，令超级地震预测受挫

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