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English(EN) The national debt’s 20-year deadline and baby boomers’ spending problem: ‘a lot of incentive for every generation to try to pass a big bill’

美国国债面临20年期限,代际支出差距加剧

经济学家 Kent Smetters 通过宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院预算模型(PWBM)预测,美国国债在约20年后可能达到不可持续的上限,即占GDP的210%。这一预测是由显著的支出差异驱动的,老一代人获得的联邦福利远超年轻一代人。Smetters 认为,政治激励倾向于将财政负担转嫁给子孙后代,而金融市场最终可能会对国会解决债务危机的能力失去信心。 AI

排序理由 来自一个信誉良好的经济模型的分析预测了美国国债的关键财政截止日期。[lever_c_demoted from significant: ic=1 ai=0.1]

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美国国债面临20年期限,代际支出差距加剧

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来自一个信誉良好的经济模型的分析预测了美国国债的关键财政截止日期。[lever_c_demoted from significant: ic=1 ai=0.1]
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报道来源 [1]

  1. Fortune TIER_1 English(EN) · Nick Lichtenberg ·

    国债的20年最后期限与婴儿潮一代的支出问题:“每一代人都有很大动力试图通过一项重大法案”

    Kent Smetters, faculty director of the Penn Wharton Budget Model, estimates that we spend 6x more on older than young people — or actually more like 10x.