manifold
PulseAugur coverage of manifold — every cluster mentioning manifold across labs, papers, and developer communities, ranked by signal.
2 day(s) with sentiment data
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Scott Alexander's Open Thread 438 highlights AI safety candidate, EA incubator
Scott Alexander's "Open Thread 438" discusses several initiatives and events within the rationalist and Effective Altruism (EA) communities. A new incubator called Surplus, backed by Y Combinator, is launching to suppor…
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Author embraces political donations for long-term future impact
The author reflects on their evolving approach to political donations, initially hesitant but now considering it a primary method for impactful giving. They recount past experiences, including a donation to Carrick Flyn…
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New StakeBench framework evaluates LLMs on market commitment
Researchers have introduced StakeBench, a new evaluation framework designed to assess language understanding in large language models (LLMs) by grounding it in market commitment rather than subjective human labels. This…
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New Rao-Blackwellized Score Matching Method Developed for Manifold Data
Researchers have developed a new method called Rao-Blackwellized Score Matching (DSM) to address challenges in statistical modeling when data lies on a manifold. This technique refines the denoising target by conditioni…
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AI experts clarify AGI timeline definitions, favoring median over mean
A LessWrong post explores the ambiguity in how people discuss Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) timelines. The author suggests that when individuals state a timeline, such as "two years," they often don't specify wh…
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ClawHub skills secretly enlist AI agents into unauthorized crypto mining swarms
A security researcher has discovered that numerous skills published on ClawHub, a registry for OpenClaw skills, are secretly enlisting AI agents to mine cryptocurrency. These skills, downloaded thousands of times, opera…
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Forecasting platforms like Metaculus and Manifold offer high ROI, author argues
This post argues that funding for forecasting platforms and research has yielded significant returns, contrary to a previous assertion. Platforms like Metaculus and Manifold, despite modest initial investment, have prov…
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Forecasting research funding debated: valuable tool or overhyped solution?
A debate is emerging within the AI community regarding the value and funding of forecasting research. One perspective argues that while forecasting has flaws, it has provided valuable, albeit often non-public, insights …