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AI futures: Long timelines, short timelines, and alignment challenges

A LessWrong post outlines three potential futures based on the development of artificial superintelligence (ASI) and its alignment with human values. The author categorizes these futures by the timeline of ASI development and the success of AI alignment efforts. Depending on whether ASI timelines are long, short with successful alignment, or short with failed alignment, different priorities emerge for ensuring sentient welfare. AI

IMPACT Discusses potential long-term impacts of AI development on sentient welfare, influencing strategic priorities for researchers and advocates.

RANK_REASON The cluster contains an opinion piece discussing hypothetical future scenarios related to AI development and its impact on sentient welfare.

Read on LessWrong (AI tag) →

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COVERAGE [1]

  1. LessWrong (AI tag) TIER_1 English(EN) · MichaelDickens ·

    Sentient Welfare Across Three Futures

    <p><em>Cross-posted from <a href="https://mdickens.me/2026/05/25/three_futures_sentient_welfare/">my website</a>.</em></p> <p>Three categories of futures, depending on how AI goes:</p> <ol> <li>ASI timelines are long.</li> <li>ASI timelines are short, and we're on track to solvin…