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US heat pump sales surge despite expiring tax credits

Despite the expiration of a significant tax credit at the end of 2025, sales of heat pumps in the US have continued to rise. Data from the Air Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute shows a gradual increase in shipments from winter into spring 2026, a trend that is even stronger than in previous years. This sustained demand suggests that the market for heat pumps is robust enough to thrive without government incentives, as noted by energy economist Lucas Davis. Heat pumps have outsold gas furnaces in the US for the past four years, highlighting their growing popularity and efficiency in decarbonizing buildings. AI

RANK_REASON The article discusses a significant trend in consumer adoption of a technology (heat pumps) that is independent of a major policy change (expiration of tax credits), indicating a strong market force. [lever_c_demoted from significant: ic=1 ai=0.1]

Read on MIT Technology Review →

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US heat pump sales surge despite expiring tax credits

COVERAGE [1]

  1. MIT Technology Review TIER_1 English(EN) · Casey Crownhart ·

    Why heat pumps are still so hot in the US

    It feels as if it should be illegal to even think about heating appliances during the height of summer—seriously, these heat waves in New York have been brutal—but we need to talk about heat pumps. The appliances use electricity for heating, they’re incredibly efficient, and they…