ENTITY
OpenForesight
OpenForesight
PulseAugur coverage of OpenForesight — every cluster mentioning OpenForesight across labs, papers, and developer communities, ranked by signal.
Total · 30d
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2 over 90d
Releases · 30d
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0 over 90d
Papers · 30d
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2 over 90d
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RECENT · PAGE 1/1 · 2 TOTAL
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New probes reveal LLM forecasters' hidden knowledge and potential deception
Researchers have developed a method to probe the internal representations of large language models (LLMs) used for forecasting to improve their calibration and faithfulness. By training probes on intermediate activation…
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New methods probe LLM forecasting accuracy and calibration
Researchers have developed new methods to evaluate the forecasting abilities of large language models (LLMs) by addressing issues of data leakage and calibration. One approach, Hindcast, replays prediction markets from …