Capital Economics
PulseAugur coverage of Capital Economics — every cluster mentioning Capital Economics across labs, papers, and developer communities, ranked by signal.
5 day(s) with sentiment data
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Bill Gross warns against long-term bonds amid AI debt boom
Veteran investor Bill Gross has issued a stark warning against holding long-term bonds, citing an unbalanced credit landscape and increased market volatility. He notes that the total global debt, including significant c…
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Mortgage rates near 3-year high, applications plunge
Mortgage rates have climbed to their highest point in nearly three years, exceeding 7.28% for a 30-year fixed loan. This surge, closely mirroring the rise in 10-year Treasury yields, has led to a significant drop in mor…
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Economists warn of late-stage AI bubble due to capital misallocation · 1 source tracked
Economists from Capital Economics are warning of a late-stage bubble in the AI industry, citing a significant misallocation of capital. They point to market indicators like increased equity and debt issuance, along with…
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Oil prices push US bond yields past 5%, risking debt cycle and AI investment
Rising oil prices, exacerbated by ongoing geopolitical conflicts, have pushed U.S. bond yields past the significant 5% threshold for the first time since 2023. This surge in yields, coupled with persistent inflation and…
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AI stock market bubble fears rise amid extreme volatility and Fed rate hike concerns
Wall Street analysts are expressing concern about a potential AI-driven stock market bubble, with some forecasting a significant crash. This sentiment is fueled by extreme market volatility, exemplified by massive singl…
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AI stock market boom nearing bubble peak, analysts warn of crash
Analysts are warning that the current AI-driven stock market boom is nearing its end, with some predicting a significant crash in the coming year. Factors contributing to this outlook include unsustainable earnings grow…
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Economist warns US Treasury debt buybacks risk dollar devaluation spiral
Economist Robin Brooks warns that the U.S. Treasury's plan to increase long-term bond buybacks risks devaluing the dollar, drawing parallels to Japan's yen devaluation spiral. Brooks argues this financial engineering, w…
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US and Japan yen intervention signals dollar dominance may be waning, experts say
A recent joint intervention by the U.S. and Japan to support the yen has sparked debate about the dollar's global dominance. Economist Barry Eichengreen argues that the methods used, such as the U.S. selling euros inste…
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China's high-tech exports surge despite global trade slowdown
China's export growth saw a slight deceleration in July, though it surpassed analyst expectations due to robust demand for high-tech goods and vehicles. Despite trade barriers and tariffs, particularly from the U.S., Ch…
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US jobs market hits 'unexpected turbulence' with payrolls falling
The U.S. jobs market experienced unexpected turbulence in July, with nonfarm payrolls falling by 23,000, significantly missing economists' expectations. This decline, coupled with downward revisions to previous months' …
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AI debt surge: Hidden borrowing hits $1.65T as investors grow wary · 1 source tracked
The AI industry's immense capital expenditure is fueling a significant increase in debt issuance, with hyperscalers and related entities like NVIDIA issuing $225 billion in bonds so far in 2026, a nearly 1,000% surge. T…
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US Treasury faces debt crisis amid hawkish Fed and rising AI-driven costs
The U.S. Treasury is facing significant risks due to its heavy reliance on short-term debt instruments to manage the nation's $39 trillion debt. This strategy makes the government vulnerable to rising interest rates, as…
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China's AI boom fuels 27% export surge amid global trade shifts · 1 source tracked
China's exports saw a significant 27% increase in June, largely driven by the booming artificial intelligence sector and its demand for electronic components and hardware. This surge in AI-related trade, alongside other…
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AI boom, El Niño, and tariffs fuel persistent inflation concerns
Inflationary pressures are expected to persist due to a confluence of factors including a strong El Niño weather pattern, the significant demand for resources driven by the AI boom, potential tariffs from Donald Trump, …
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SK Hynix Nasdaq debut to test AI market's boom-or-bust trajectory
South Korean chipmaker SK Hynix is set to list on the Nasdaq, potentially raising $29 billion in what could be the largest-ever first-time share sale by a foreign company. The company's stock has surged nearly 800% in t…
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BofA warns of stock market 'snapback' amid AI speculation · 1 source tracked
Bank of America analysts are warning of a significant stock market downturn, predicting the S&P 500 could lose much of its year-to-date gains and fall to 7,100 by year-end. They cite extreme speculation, particularly in…
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AI boom shows signs of bubble, faces potential 'blow-off phase' before pop
The AI boom may be nearing its end, with significant stock market volatility and a rush to raise capital indicating a potential bubble. Despite strong earnings in some sectors like semiconductors, concerns are growing a…
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Energy markets face prolonged tightness until 2027 despite Strait of Hormuz reopening
Global energy markets are expected to remain tight well into 2027, despite a recent memorandum of understanding between the U.S. and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Analysts from S&P Global and Oxford Economics not…
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Strait of Hormuz Reopens, but Full Energy Flow Recovery Expected by 2027
The Strait of Hormuz is set to fully reopen following an agreement between the U.S. and Iran, but a complete return to normal energy flows is not expected until 2027. The disruption, which lasted three months, led to a …
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Iran's Economy Collapses Post-War Amidst Soaring Inflation
Iran's economy is in severe decline following a recent war, with inflation for essential food items exceeding 400%. The conflict exacerbated pre-existing economic issues like high unemployment and currency devaluation, …