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中文(ZH) 华泰证券:9月前美联储将维持利率不变,年底12月加息概率接近50%

Huatai Securities: Fed to hold rates until Sept, 50% hike chance by year-end

Huatai Securities anticipates the Federal Reserve will maintain its current interest rates until at least September, with a nearly 50% chance of a rate hike in December. The firm predicts up to two cumulative rate increases by the end of next year. Meanwhile, CICC believes recent policy discussions at the Lujiazui Forum will create new opportunities for banks in areas like cross-border digital yuan applications and RMB asset allocation, while also mitigating interest rate wars. AI

RANK_REASON The item discusses financial analysis and predictions regarding interest rates and banking sector opportunities, not a core AI development.

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  1. 36氪 (36Kr) TIER_1 中文(ZH) ·

    Huatai Securities: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged before September, with a nearly 50% chance of a rate hike in December.

    36氪获悉,华泰证券研报称,北京时间6月18日凌晨美联储公布6月议息会议决定,政策利率维持在3.5%—3.75%,点阵图指示2026年可能预防式加息;沃什在记者会上对前瞻指引、美联储运作的表态与此前类似,并宣布成立包括货币政策沟通在内的五个工作组,兑现其改革美联储的承诺。向前看,华泰证券维持此前判断,9月前美联储将维持利率不变,年底12月加息概率接近50%,至明年底可能累计加息2次。