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Two-Layer Auto-Regressive Models Learn Kalman Filtering

Researchers have demonstrated that two-layer linear auto-regressive models can learn to approximate Kalman filtering when trained on data from partially observed linear dynamical systems. The study shows that the models' learned hidden representations align with the state estimates produced by the optimal Kalman filter, even without explicit knowledge of the underlying dynamics. This finding is supported by theoretical insights into Kalman filter approximation by auto-regressive models, the benign optimization landscape of two-layer models, and finite-sample guarantees on prediction and state recovery errors. AI

IMPACT This research provides theoretical grounding for how auto-regressive models learn latent states, potentially informing the design of more effective sequential data models.

RANK_REASON The cluster contains an academic paper detailing theoretical findings in machine learning.

Read on arXiv cs.AI →

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COVERAGE [2]

  1. arXiv cs.AI TIER_1 Deutsch(DE) · Yahya Sattar, Sunmook Choi, Leo Maynard-Zhang, Yassir Jedra, Maryam Fazel, Sarah Dean ·

    Two-Layer Linear Auto-Regressive Models Estimate Latent States

    arXiv:2606.12691v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Auto-regressive models have emerged as powerful tools for sequential data, from language to video. Understanding how and why these models learn latent representations remains an open theoretical question. In this work, we demonstr…

  2. arXiv stat.ML TIER_1 Deutsch(DE) · Sarah Dean ·

    Two-Layer Linear Auto-Regressive Models Estimate Latent States

    Auto-regressive models have emerged as powerful tools for sequential data, from language to video. Understanding how and why these models learn latent representations remains an open theoretical question. In this work, we demonstrate that when trained by empirical risk minimizati…