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New LLF framework and datasets tackle social platform forecasting

Researchers have introduced a new framework called Lead-Lag Forecasting (LLF) to address the challenge of predicting future impacts based on early user interactions on social platforms. To support this research, they have created two large benchmark datasets derived from arXiv and GitHub, encompassing millions of papers and repositories respectively. These datasets are designed to capture long-term dynamics and avoid sampling biases, providing a foundation for developing and testing LLF models. AI

IMPACT Establishes a new forecasting paradigm for analyzing long-term user behavior dynamics on social platforms.

RANK_REASON The cluster contains an academic paper introducing a new methodology and benchmark datasets. [lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=1.0]

Read on arXiv cs.LG →

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COVERAGE [1]

  1. arXiv cs.LG TIER_1 English(EN) · Kimia Kazemian (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Zhenzhen Liu (Department of Computer Science, Cornell University), Yangfanyu Yang (Department of Information Science, Cornell University), Katie Luo (Department of Computer Science, Sta… ·

    Benchmark Datasets for Lead-Lag Forecasting on Social Platforms

    arXiv:2511.03877v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Social and collaborative platforms emit multivariate time-series traces in which early interactions -- such as views, likes, or downloads -- are followed, sometimes months or years later, by higher impact like citations, sales, …