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Morgan Stanley: AI to boost GDP by 0.65% annually from 2028

Morgan Stanley analysts project that AI will contribute 0.35% to GDP growth in 2026 and 0.43% in 2027. Their analysis further assumes a consistent annual contribution of 0.65% from 2028 to 2031. These smoothed estimates are intended to reflect the broad integration and scaling of AI across the economy. AI

IMPACT Provides a quantitative outlook on AI's economic impact, guiding investment and strategic planning.

RANK_REASON This is an analysis and projection from a financial institution, not a direct release of new AI technology or a policy change.

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Morgan Stanley: AI to boost GDP by 0.65% annually from 2028

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  1. Mastodon — mastodon.social TIER_1 English(EN) · [email protected] ·

    Research @MorganStanley analysis assumes AI’s contribution to GDP growth to be 0.35% in 2026 and 0.43% in 2027. They then use a stable annual contribution of 0.

    Research @MorganStanley analysis assumes AI’s contribution to GDP growth to be 0.35% in 2026 and 0.43% in 2027. They then use a stable annual contribution of 0.65% from 2028 through 2031, with estimates smoothed to reflect the scaling and diffusion of # AI across the economy.