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AI model capabilities doubling every four months, studies find

Two independent studies suggest that leading AI models are doubling their capabilities every four months, a rate that is accelerating. If this trend continues, the most advanced AI models will be 250 times more powerful by the 2028 election. The implications of such a significant increase in AI capability are profound and difficult to fully grasp. AI

IMPACT This rapid, accelerating growth in AI capabilities could significantly reshape technological landscapes and societal functions within a few years.

RANK_REASON The cluster discusses findings from studies about AI model capability growth, which falls under commentary on AI trends rather than a direct release or research publication.

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  1. Mastodon — fosstodon.org TIER_1 English(EN) · [email protected] ·

    MyNotes:Doubling Growth # ai This was an eye-opening assertion: Two studies independently concluded that the capabilities of the leading AI models have been dou

    MyNotes:Doubling Growth # ai This was an eye-opening assertion: Two studies independently concluded that the capabilities of the leading AI models have been doubling about every four months since 2024, and that rate is accelerating. Even if the current rate holds steady, by the 2…