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New Framework Unifies Biomarker Dynamics with Multi-State Event Models

Researchers have developed a novel general framework for joint multi-state modeling that integrates longitudinal biomarker data with complex time-to-event processes. This framework allows for nonlinear longitudinal submodels and utilizes stochastic gradient descent for scalable inference, accommodating both Markovian and semi-Markovian transition structures. The approach enables dynamic prediction of individualized state-transition probabilities and personalized risk assessments, as demonstrated through simulations and an application to the PAQUID cohort. AI

RANK_REASON This cluster is based on an arXiv preprint detailing a new statistical modeling framework. [lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=0.4]

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COVERAGE [1]

  1. arXiv stat.ML TIER_1 English(EN) · F\'elix Laplante, Christophe Ambroise ·

    A General Framework for Joint Multi-State Models

    arXiv:2510.07128v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Conventional joint modeling approaches generally characterize the relationship between longitudinal biomarkers and discrete event occurrences within terminal, recurring or competing risk settings, thereby offering a limite…