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New framework improves bike-sharing demand prediction with temporal adaptation

Researchers have developed a new framework called Gen-ROTDA to improve bike-sharing demand prediction models that degrade over time due to changing travel patterns. This method uses optimal transport to adapt models to new temporal domains, fitting a target-domain anchor with a small labeled subset and transferring residual demand. Experiments show Gen-ROTDA achieves the lowest Mean Absolute Error on recent prediction tasks and demonstrates stability even with noisy, unlabeled data, outperforming other optimal transport variants. AI

IMPACT Enhances the robustness of predictive models in dynamic environments, crucial for real-world applications like urban mobility.

RANK_REASON The cluster contains an academic paper detailing a new machine learning framework for a specific prediction task.

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COVERAGE [2]

  1. arXiv stat.ML TIER_1 English(EN) · Yiming Ma ·

    Robust OT-Guided Generative Residual Domain Adaptation for Bike-Sharing Demand Prediction under Temporal Domain Shift

    arXiv:2605.23115v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Bike-sharing models trained on historical station-hour data may degrade when deployed in later years because travel patterns change over time. This paper studies March Citi Bike demand prediction from 2021 to 2026 as a temporal do…

  2. arXiv stat.ML TIER_1 English(EN) · Yiming Ma ·

    Robust OT-Guided Generative Residual Domain Adaptation for Bike-Sharing Demand Prediction under Temporal Domain Shift

    Bike-sharing models trained on historical station-hour data may degrade when deployed in later years because travel patterns change over time. This paper studies March Citi Bike demand prediction from 2021 to 2026 as a temporal domain adaptation problem and proposes Gen-ROTDA, a …