Samuel Charap, a policy expert at RAND, argues that a ceasefire in Ukraine could paradoxically increase the risk of a wider war in Europe. He posits that the conflict has remilitarized Europe and fostered deep resentment in Russia, creating an environment ripe for miscalculation. Charap advocates for a negotiated settlement that stops the immediate fighting while establishing deterrents against future aggression, suggesting that alternatives like indefinite war or an unstructured ceasefire pose greater risks to stability. AI
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RANK_REASON This is an opinion piece by a named expert from a policy think tank discussing geopolitical risks.