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Text-to-SQL confidence scores show improved accuracy on Spider dataset

A new research paper explores the effectiveness of confidence scores in Text-to-SQL systems, specifically evaluating GPT-5.1 on the BIRD and Spider datasets. The study found that a designed confidence score performed weakly on BIRD, withholding many correct answers. However, after freezing a rule where agreement among samples determined the score, and applying deterministic checks as vetoes, the system showed significant improvement on Spider, with a higher AUROC and fewer withheld correct answers. The research indicates that the method of incorporating agreement into the score is crucial for improving accuracy and coverage in conversational analytics. AI

IMPACT This research could lead to more reliable conversational analytics systems by improving how confidence scores are generated and utilized.

RANK_REASON Academic paper detailing an exploratory study on Text-to-SQL confidence scores. [lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=1.0]

Read on arXiv cs.AI →

AI-generated summary · Google Gemini · from 1 sources. How we write summaries →

Text-to-SQL confidence scores show improved accuracy on Spider dataset

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Academic paper detailing an exploratory study on Text-to-SQL confidence scores. [lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=1.0]
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COVERAGE [1]

  1. arXiv cs.AI TIER_1 English(EN) · Raghu Venkat, Tricha Anjali ·

    Does a Governed Confidence Score Know When a Text-to-SQL Answer Is Right? An Exploratory Study on BIRD and a Pre-registered Confirmation on Spider

    arXiv:2610.17256v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conversational analytics lets people ask questions of records spread across many systems and get answers in plain language; it is useful only if each answer can be trusted and explained. A production system of this kind attaches a c…