A new research paper explores the effectiveness of confidence scores in Text-to-SQL systems, specifically evaluating GPT-5.1 on the BIRD and Spider datasets. The study found that a designed confidence score performed weakly on BIRD, withholding many correct answers. However, after freezing a rule where agreement among samples determined the score, and applying deterministic checks as vetoes, the system showed significant improvement on Spider, with a higher AUROC and fewer withheld correct answers. The research indicates that the method of incorporating agreement into the score is crucial for improving accuracy and coverage in conversational analytics. AI
IMPACT This research could lead to more reliable conversational analytics systems by improving how confidence scores are generated and utilized.
RANK_REASON Academic paper detailing an exploratory study on Text-to-SQL confidence scores. [lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=1.0]
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