This article argues that the outcome of a single decision is poor evidence for grading the decision-making process itself. It distinguishes between asking 'Was the decision good?' and 'Did it work out?', noting that these questions only converge in high-volume scenarios where rates of success can be statistically analyzed. For one-off decisions, the outcome is merely a single data point and cannot definitively prove the quality of the reasoning or the completeness of the options considered. To properly review a singular decision, a record must exist beforehand detailing the options, the chosen pick, the stated confidence, and the underlying reasons and assumptions, allowing for an objective assessment of the process rather than just the result. AI
RANK_REASON The item is an opinion piece discussing decision-making frameworks, not a factual report on an event.
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