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Too Sharp, Too Sure: When Calibration Follows Curvature

Researchers have identified a strong link between model calibration, curvature, and margins during the training of deep neural networks. Their findings indicate that Expected Calibration Error closely follows curvature-based sharpness throughout the optimization process. By introducing a margin-aware training objective that targets robust-margin tails and local smoothness, they achieved better out-of-sample calibration without compromising accuracy. AI

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IMPACT Improves understanding of how to achieve better model calibration during training, potentially leading to more reliable AI systems.

RANK_REASON Academic paper on neural network calibration and training dynamics.

Read on arXiv stat.ML →

Too Sharp, Too Sure: When Calibration Follows Curvature

COVERAGE [1]

  1. arXiv stat.ML TIER_1 · Pierfrancesco Beneventano ·

    Too Sharp, Too Sure: When Calibration Follows Curvature

    Modern neural networks can achieve high accuracy while remaining poorly calibrated, producing confidence estimates that do not match empirical correctness. Yet calibration is often treated as a post-hoc attribute. We take a different perspective: we study calibration as a trainin…