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New Calibrated Prediction-Powered Inference method improves semisupervised mean estimation

Researchers have developed a new method called Calibrated Prediction-Powered Inference (CalPPI) to improve semisupervised mean estimation. This technique involves post-hoc calibration of prediction scores using a small labeled dataset before applying them to a larger unlabeled dataset. The method aims to enhance both predictive accuracy and the efficiency of semisupervised estimation, particularly when prediction scores are not perfectly aligned with the outcome scale. Experiments show that CalPPI often outperforms existing methods like PPI and is competitive with or better than AIPW and PPI++. AI

Summary written by gemini-2.5-flash-lite from 1 source. How we write summaries →

IMPACT Introduces a novel calibration technique for semisupervised learning that can improve estimator efficiency and predictive accuracy.

RANK_REASON Academic paper introducing a new statistical inference method.

Read on arXiv stat.ML →

New Calibrated Prediction-Powered Inference method improves semisupervised mean estimation

COVERAGE [1]

  1. arXiv stat.ML TIER_1 · Mark Van Der Laan ·

    Calibeating Prediction-Powered Inference

    We study semisupervised mean estimation with a small labeled sample, a large unlabeled sample, and a black-box prediction model whose output may be miscalibrated. A standard approach in this setting is augmented inverse-probability weighting (AIPW) [Robins et al., 1994], which pr…