Researchers have developed PPDL, a new framework designed to forecast user retention ratios for large-scale short-video platforms. This framework addresses challenges such as channel heterogeneity, global decay and saturation trends, and limited look-back windows. PPDL integrates physical priors with deep learning by decomposing trends using the Weibull distribution modeled by a Multilayer Perceptron, and by using an auxiliary embedding module for residual components to maintain channel identity. A Multiscale Trend-penalized loss function further enhances trend sensitivity. Experiments on industrial-scale datasets demonstrate that PPDL outperforms existing online solutions across various applications. AI
IMPACT This framework could improve budget allocation for user acquisition in short-video platforms by providing more accurate retention forecasts.
RANK_REASON The item is an academic paper detailing a new framework for forecasting user retention ratios. [lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=1.0]
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