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中文(ZH) 普林斯顿王梦迪外滩大会提醒:Ai实现自主发现,并非只需模型更大

AI's scientific discovery potential limited by current models, says Princeton prof

At the 2026 Inclusion·Bund Conference, Princeton University's Wang Mengdi highlighted that current large language models, while possessing vast knowledge, are limited in their ability to make novel scientific discoveries. These models tend to favor the most probable outcomes, neglecting the long-tail possibilities where true breakthroughs often lie. Wang's team found that LLMs like ChatGPT and Claude often overestimate common scenarios and underestimate minority ones in simulated life experiments. She argued that AI's path to independent scientific discovery hinges not on larger models, but on creating more verifiable real-world experimental infrastructure. AI

IMPACT Current AI models are better suited for tasks with clear validation, limiting their capacity for groundbreaking scientific discovery without improved experimental infrastructure.

RANK_REASON Expert opinion on AI capabilities and limitations.

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AI's scientific discovery potential limited by current models, says Princeton prof

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COVERAGE [1]

  1. 雷峰网 (Leiphone) TIER_1 中文(ZH) ·

    Princeton Wang Mengdi Bund Conference Reminder: AI Achieves Autonomous Discovery, Not Just Larger Models

    <p>9月10日,在2026 Inclusion·外滩大会主论坛上,普林斯顿大学人工智能创新中心主任王梦迪教授提出一个问题:AI距离自主发现新科学还有多远?</p><p>她的判断是,今天的大模型已经掌握了大量人类知识,但在真正的科学发现上仍然存在明显局限:大模型更擅长找到“最可能”的答案,而真正的新发现,往往藏在概率分布的长尾里。</p><p>王梦迪团队近期与普林斯顿大学社会学教授谢宇合作,用ChatGPT、Claude等大模型进行“模拟人生”实验。例如,让模型模拟一个1930年出生的英国人,自主生成自己此后的人生轨迹。</p><p>实验发现,在结婚年龄…