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Machine learning models evaluated for elderly hospitalization risk prediction

A new research paper published on arXiv details a comprehensive evaluation of machine learning models for predicting hospitalization risk in elderly patients with multiple long-term conditions. The study developed a scalable clinical data infrastructure using CPRD Aurum data and benchmarked Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (TG-CNN) against Logistic Regression with LASSO regularization and Random Forests. While TG-CNN showed a marginally higher AUC-ROC in cross-validation, Logistic Regression with LASSO performed best on the held-out test set and demonstrated superior calibration, making it the most suitable model for direct clinical deployment. AI

IMPACT Highlights the importance of calibration and interpretability over raw discrimination for clinical AI deployment.

RANK_REASON Research paper published on arXiv detailing ML model evaluation. [lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=1.0]

Read on arXiv cs.AI →

AI-generated summary · Google Gemini · from 1 sources. How we write summaries →

Machine learning models evaluated for elderly hospitalization risk prediction

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Research paper published on arXiv detailing ML model evaluation. [lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=1.0]
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COVERAGE [1]

  1. arXiv cs.AI TIER_1 English(EN) · Asra Aslam, Volodymyr Chapman, Maurice M. O'Connell, Aseel S. Abuzour, Michael Abaho, Danushka Bollegala, Gary Leeming, Eduard Shantsila, Andrew Clegg, Lauren E. Walker, Iain Edward Buchan, Samuel D. Relton ·

    Scalable Clinical Data Infrastructure and Comparative ML Evaluation for Hospitalisation Risk Prediction in Elderly Patients with Multiple Long-Term Conditions using CPRD

    arXiv:2608.29419v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep learning architectures are increasingly proposed for patient trajectory modeling in electronic health records (EHRs), yet their advantage over simpler, more interpretable models is rarely subjected to rigorous empirical scrut…