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Sleeping Kelly: New approach to Sleeping Beauty problem uses Kelly Criterion

Researchers have introduced "Sleeping Kelly," a novel approach to the Sleeping Beauty problem that utilizes the Kelly Criterion for rational decision-making. This method infers probabilities based on maximizing wealth growth rate, diverging from the common assumption of maximizing expected bet value. The findings indicate that Sleeping Kelly acts as an ex ante Halfer and de se Thirder, demonstrating imperviousness to diachronic Dutch Books. AI

RANK_REASON This is a research paper published on arXiv detailing a new theoretical approach to a philosophical problem. [lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=0.1]

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Sleeping Kelly: New approach to Sleeping Beauty problem uses Kelly Criterion

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  1. arXiv cs.AI TIER_1 (AF) · Ben Abramowitz ·

    Sleeping Kelly

    arXiv:2510.15911v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: The Sleeping Beauty problem is a problem of imperfect recall that has received considerable attention. One approach to solving the Sleeping Beauty problem is to allow Sleeping Beauty to make decisions based on her beliefs,…