The author expresses skepticism towards longtermism, a philosophy asserting a moral obligation to improve the distant future. Three primary arguments are presented: first, confidence in predicting future affairs should decrease over time due to the inherent chaos and vast possibility space of human history. Second, longtermism makes unfalsifiable claims about the future, akin to religious tenets, by describing unknowable scenarios with vivid detail. Finally, the author suggests that longtermism imbues actions with exaggerated stakes, similar to how religious beliefs can elevate the consequence of individual actions. AI
IMPACT Challenges the philosophical underpinnings of long-term AI safety and existential risk mitigation strategies.
RANK_REASON The cluster consists of opinion pieces discussing the philosophical underpinnings of longtermism, rather than a new release, research, or industry event.
- longtermism
- William MacAskill
- Eliezer Yudkowsky
- Future of Humanity Institute
- Google DeepMind
- Machine Intelligence Research Institute
- Nick Bostrom
- OpenAI
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