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Twitter could integrate AI-powered prediction resolution via community notes

The author proposes integrating a prediction market-like system into Twitter, leveraging AI and community notes for resolving vague predictions. This system would convert prediction-shaped tweets into trackable objects, with AI assisting in operationalization and evidence gathering. User voting and a leaderboard would determine the resolution of predictions, aiming to foster a more truth-seeking environment on the platform. AI

IMPACT Could enhance the platform's ability to track and verify public predictions, potentially fostering a more truth-oriented discourse.

RANK_REASON The item is an opinion piece proposing a new feature for an existing platform, not a release or research.

Read on LessWrong (AI tag) →

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Twitter could integrate AI-powered prediction resolution via community notes

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  1. LessWrong (AI tag) TIER_1 English(EN) · Raemon ·

    "Community Notes" resolution for vague predictions

    <p><span>Is there some kind of "get prediction markets, or predictions, onto twitter as a central object" project going? If so, how is it going?</span></p><p><span>I'm thinking through "how to raise median sanity" on a world scale. There are several incentive and institutional pr…