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中文(ZH) 中信证券：预计年内黄金价格将回到上行通道

Gold Prices Poised for Rebound Amid Geopolitical and Fiscal Factors, Says CITIC Securities

By PulseAugur Editorial · [1 sources] ·

CITIC Securities predicts that gold prices will rebound and return to an upward trend within the year, despite recent declines. The firm attributes the current downturn to a temporary adjustment within a larger bull market, supported by factors such as accelerating US fiscal deficits, geopolitical instability, and sustained central bank gold purchases. They anticipate that the situation in the Strait of Hormuz will shift from suppressing gold prices to boosting them, potentially coupled with a more optimistic Federal Reserve monetary policy and increased US military spending, leading to a price floor around $4000/ounce. AI

RANK_REASON The item is an analysis of market trends and predictions by a financial institution, not a direct release or event.

Read on 36氪 (36Kr) →

AI-generated summary · Google Gemini · from 1 sources. How we write summaries →

Gold Prices Poised for Rebound Amid Geopolitical and Fiscal Factors, Says CITIC Securities

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  1. 36氪 (36Kr) TIER_1 中文(ZH) ·

    CITIC Securities: Gold prices are expected to return to an upward trend within the year

    36氪获悉，中信证券研报认为，今年以来黄金价格冲高后迅速下跌，但黄金仍处在大牛市，原因有美国财政赤字加速扩张、逆全球化下地缘裂痕难以弥合、全球央行购金持续托底。因此金价本轮下跌只是牛市中的暂时调整。当前的回撤幅度已逼近历史极值，4000美元/盎司附近大概率是本轮底部区域。展望后市，预计霍尔木兹海峡局势对黄金价格的影响将从压制转变为助推，美联储货币政策可能比市场预期更乐观，叠加美国军费暴涨推高赤字，预计年内黄金价格将回到上行通道。

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