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中文(ZH) 供强需弱格局尚未扭转,生猪价格短期反弹阻力较大

Live pig prices fall amid oversupply and weak demand, capacity reduction accelerates

The domestic live pig market has weakened again after a brief rebound, with both spot and futures prices facing downward pressure. As of August 4th, the average price of live pigs nationwide was 10.33 yuan/kg, a drop of over 9% from the July 7th peak. This decline is attributed to concentrated sales from farms and a traditional off-season for pork consumption due to high temperatures, creating a temporary supply-demand imbalance. The industry is accelerating its capacity reduction, with the number of breeding sows falling to 37.8 million by the end of the second quarter, nearing the target of 37.5 million. AI

RANK_REASON The article discusses live pig prices and market conditions, which is not directly related to AI.

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Live pig prices fall amid oversupply and weak demand, capacity reduction accelerates

COVERAGE [1]

  1. 36氪 (36Kr) TIER_1 中文(ZH) ·

    The pattern of strong supply and weak demand has not yet reversed, and the resistance to a short-term rebound in live hog prices is relatively large

    短暂反弹后,国内生猪市场再度转弱,现货、期货价格同步承压。数据显示,截至8月4日,国内外三元生猪出栏均价为10.33元/公斤,较7月7日阶段性高点跌超9%;全国农产品批发市场猪肉平均价格回落至15.77元/公斤。近期,生猪期货主力2609合约价格也一度跌至10635元/吨,创下上市以来新低。业内人士认为,养殖端集中出栏叠加高温天气导致猪肉消费进入传统淡季,阶段性供需错配是本轮生猪价格回落的主要原因。与此同时,二季度末全国能繁母猪存栏量已降至3780万头,接近3750万头的正常保有量目标,行业去产能步伐明显加快。(中证报)