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Independent researcher seeks advice on novel time series forecasting approach

An independent researcher has developed a novel approach to time series forecasting that shows significant accuracy improvements over existing methods like TabPFN/TabFM and LightGBM. The researcher is seeking advice on the best path forward, considering options such as publishing a paper on arXiv, writing a blog post with a GitHub code release, or focusing on a practical real-world application. The primary goal is to rigorously evaluate the method and ensure its potential impact is recognized without overstating preliminary results. AI

IMPACT Provides guidance for independent researchers on navigating the path from novel findings to broader recognition and application.

RANK_REASON The item is a discussion thread seeking advice on how to proceed with a potential research finding, rather than an announcement of a release or a completed research paper.

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Independent researcher seeks advice on novel time series forecasting approach

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  1. r/MachineLearning TIER_1 English(EN) · /u/morgachev ·

    I may have found a promising approach to time series forecasting — what should I do next? [D]

    <!-- SC_OFF --><div class="md"><p>Hi everyone,</p> <p>I’ve been working on machine learning as a hobby for the past few years. While trying to solve a particular problem, I came across an approach that seems genuinely promising for time series forecasting.</p> <p>On several narro…