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中文(ZH) 中信证券:可回收技术降本增效,商业航天应用端静待花开

Commercial aerospace set for growth with reusable rockets and satellite constellations

CITIC Securities research indicates that during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, the commercial aerospace sector is poised for significant growth as new communication networks integrate space, air, land, and sea. The development of reusable rockets like the Long March 10 is expected to drastically reduce launch costs, with a peak in low-orbit satellite constellation deployment anticipated between 2028 and 2030. Manufacturing and infrastructure development are projected to require over 1.7 trillion yuan in investment, with the industry's focus shifting from manufacturing and launch to terminal operations and services post-constellation deployment, particularly in areas like direct-to-mobile satellite communication. AI

IMPACT Potential for new communication infrastructure to support AI applications.

RANK_REASON Research report analysis of future industry trends and investment opportunities.

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Commercial aerospace set for growth with reusable rockets and satellite constellations

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  1. 36氪 (36Kr) TIER_1 中文(ZH) ·

    CITIC Securities: Reusable technology reduces costs and increases efficiency, while commercial aerospace applications await blooming.

    36氪获悉,中信证券研报指出,“十五五”时期,新一代通信网向“空天地海”一体化延伸,正推动商业航天成为基础设施投资的重要增量。运力端,以长十乙为代表的可回收火箭正进入技术验证密集期,发射成本有望大幅缩减,2028—2030年正将迎来低轨卫星组网高峰。制造端,根据测算,上游制造与产能建设将带来1.7万亿以上的生产性投入。应用端,行业或呈S型成长曲线,待星座集中组网后,产业重心自制造发射转向终端运营服务,手机直连等场景市场空间广阔。展望后续,建议关注政策层面在运力供给层面的补足及后期商业需求的培育;投资层面,短期可关注可回收火箭复飞、IPO事件催化,而商业化…