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中文(ZH) 高盛认为油价上行风险显著，极端情景或破120美元

Goldman Sachs warns of significant oil price upside risks, potentially exceeding $120/barrel

By PulseAugur Editorial · [1 sources] ·

Goldman Sachs has identified significant upside risks for oil prices, projecting Brent Crude could surpass $120 per barrel under extreme geopolitical scenarios. The investment bank cited potential disruptions in key shipping lanes like the Strait of Hormuz, Strait of Mandab, and Suez Canal as major factors. Goldman Sachs anticipates that summer inventory drawdowns will support high prices in the short term, with a full recovery of Gulf oil production potentially delayed until late 2027 in the most severe disruption case. AI

RANK_REASON Goldman Sachs analysis of commodity prices and geopolitical risks.

Read on 36氪 (36Kr) →

AI-generated summary · Google Gemini · from 1 sources. How we write summaries →

Goldman Sachs warns of significant oil price upside risks, potentially exceeding $120/barrel

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Goldman Sachs analysis of commodity prices and geopolitical risks.
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COVERAGE [1]

  1. 36氪 (36Kr) TIER_1 中文(ZH) ·

    Goldman Sachs believes oil price upside risks are significant, extreme scenarios could break $120

    近期，布伦特原油期货重拾升势，主力合约一度逼近100美元关口，单周涨幅超12%。国际投行高盛为此也连发多份大宗商品深度报告，拆解地缘溢价。高盛认为，油价上行风险显著大于下行空间，短期内夏季库存去化将支撑其高位运行。极端情景下，若霍尔木兹海峡航运中断持续至2027年，海湾原油产能直至2027年底才能完全修复，2026年四季度“布伦特原油有望突破120美元，2027年均价则站稳100美元”；若曼德海峡、苏伊士运河同步长期封锁，油价将再额外上浮25美元/桶。（证券时报）

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