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中文(ZH) 中金:中场消化风险,下半场拥抱新机遇

CICC: Global Markets Enter "Mid-Game Rest" Amidst Tech Rally

A report from CICC suggests that the global market is entering a "mid-game rest" after a period of rapid growth in the semiconductor sector. This adjustment phase, expected to continue into the third quarter, is driven by monetary policy uncertainties, rising financing pressures, and potential contagion from markets like Japan and South Korea. However, strategically, the report anticipates a continuation of the tech rally post-rest, with a focus on broad security assets, and predicts that the market will expand into AI applications, industrial sectors, and resources in the latter half. AI

IMPACT The report suggests that AI applications, alongside industrial and resource sectors, are poised for growth in the latter half of the year following a market adjustment.

RANK_REASON The item is a market analysis report from a financial institution, not a primary release or event.

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CICC: Global Markets Enter "Mid-Game Rest" Amidst Tech Rally

COVERAGE [1]

  1. 36氪 (36Kr) TIER_1 中文(ZH) ·

    CICC: Digesting risks in the midfield, embracing new opportunities in the second half

    36氪获悉,中金公司研报指出,6月以来,随着半导体板块开启调整,全球市场在一轮陡峭的上行后迎来调整。本轮大周期尚未结束,但融资热与资金紧的矛盾日益突出,叠加高拥挤度和高杠杆,在流动性尚未转宽前,市场将进入“中场休息”阶段。往前看,战术层面,研报认为全球市场的调整在三季度或仍将继续,风险主要来自于货币政策不确定性、融资压力攀升以及日韩等市场风险的传播;但从战略层面来看,重申中场休息后科技行情有望继续,并仍然看好广义安全资产。需要提示的是,中场过后,行情有望在由安全和投资驱动的K型上半支内扩散,除了AI硬件外,AI应用、工业、资源品等板块也有望开启下半场。