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Ethan Mollick: China Dominates Frontier Open-Weight AI Models

Ethan Mollick, writing on Bluesky, asserts that there are currently no frontier open-weight AI models originating from the US or EU. He suggests that the significant costs associated with developing such models are not offset by sufficient value capture, leading to a lack of incentive and appetite in these regions. Mollick contrasts this with China, which he claims is the sole origin of these advanced open-weight models, citing Kimi K3 and GLM-5.2 as examples of high-level models available from China. AI

IMPACT Suggests a geopolitical imbalance in advanced open-weight AI model development, potentially impacting global AI research and deployment.

RANK_REASON Opinion piece by a named credible voice discussing the state of AI model development.

Read on Bluesky Jetstream — AI desk →

AI-generated summary · Google Gemini · from 1 sources. How we write summaries →

Ethan Mollick: China Dominates Frontier Open-Weight AI Models

COVERAGE [1]

  1. Bluesky Jetstream — AI desk TIER_1 English(EN) · emollick.bsky.social ·

    There are no frontier open weights models that are not made in China, and there is no incentive in the US, nor appetite in the EU, to build one - it is a lot of

    There are no frontier open weights models that are not made in China, and there is no incentive in the US, nor appetite in the EU, to build one - it is a lot of cost, very little value capture (There are solid mid-level models, of course, but nothing close to a Kimi K3 or a GLM…