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Deutsch(DE) Zwei Lager: Die einen sagen, in fünf Jahren schreibt man sich jede Software selbst. Ich sage: Wir sind auf einem Plateau. Die Modelle werden kaum noch klüger. D

AI's software development progress hits plateau, debate emerges

By PulseAugur Editorial · [2 sources] ·

A debate is emerging regarding the future of AI in software development, with one perspective suggesting that AI models will soon be capable of writing all necessary software within five years. Conversely, another viewpoint argues that AI progress has plateaued, with advancements primarily driven by improved tooling and increased computational power rather than genuine intelligence gains. This latter argument posits that while AI can offer efficiency improvements, it falls short of the transformative 90% gains once anticipated, and the expected major leap in AI capabilities has not materialized after four years. AI

IMPACT Debate continues on whether AI will fully automate software creation or if progress has stalled, impacting future development strategies.

RANK_REASON The cluster consists of opinion pieces discussing the current state and future trajectory of AI in software development.

Read on Mastodon — fosstodon.org →

AI-generated summary · Google Gemini · from 2 sources. How we write summaries →

AI's software development progress hits plateau, debate emerges

COVERAGE [2]

  1. Mastodon — fosstodon.org TIER_1 English(EN) · [email protected] ·

    Two camps. One says that in five years you'll just have a model write whatever software you need. I say: we've hit a plateau. The models are barely getting smar

    Two camps. One says that in five years you'll just have a model write whatever software you need. I say: we've hit a plateau. The models are barely getting smarter. The progress comes from tooling and expensive compute, not from more intelligence. For serious software that leaves…

    LINKS no-bullshit-agile.com/llm-plateau-softwar…
  2. Mastodon — fosstodon.org TIER_1 Deutsch(DE) · [email protected] ·

    Two camps: Some say that in five years, everyone will write their own software. I say: We are on a plateau. The models are hardly getting any smarter.

    Zwei Lager: Die einen sagen, in fünf Jahren schreibt man sich jede Software selbst. Ich sage: Wir sind auf einem Plateau. Die Modelle werden kaum noch klüger. Der Fortschritt kommt aus Werkzeugen und teurer Rechenzeit, nicht aus mehr Intelligenz. Für ernsthafte Software bleiben 1…

    LINKS no-bullshit-agile.de/llm-plateau-software… podcasts.social/@freakshow chaos.social/@rstockm

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