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New ADVICE framework improves LLM confidence estimation by grounding it in answers

Researchers have developed a new framework called ADVICE to address overconfidence in large language models' verbalized confidence estimations. This framework aims to make confidence reporting more grounded in the model's actual answer, rather than being independent of it. Experiments indicate that ADVICE significantly improves confidence calibration and generalizes well to new scenarios without harming task performance. AI

Summary written by gemini-2.5-flash-lite from 1 source. How we write summaries →

IMPACT Improves LLM trustworthiness by making confidence reporting more accurate and answer-dependent.

RANK_REASON Academic paper introducing a new framework for LLM confidence estimation.

Read on arXiv cs.CL →

COVERAGE [1]

  1. arXiv cs.CL TIER_1 Deutsch(DE) · Ki Jung Seo, Sehun Lim, Taeuk Kim ·

    ADVICE: Answer-Dependent Verbalized Confidence Estimation

    arXiv:2510.10913v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recent progress in large language models (LLMs) has enabled them to communicate their confidence in natural language, improving transparency and reliability. However, this expressiveness is often accompanied by systematic overco…