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New arXiv Paper Reveals Two Layers of Instability in Causal Estimation

A new paper published on arXiv details two layers of instability inherent in causal estimation from observational data. The research, building on prior work, highlights that causal effects can be discontinuous with respect to data distribution changes. It further identifies a second layer of instability related to the choice of estimation method, suggesting that estimators can exhibit discontinuous jumps based on the data distribution. The paper proposes a taxonomy of estimators, indicating that stability is linked to how well an estimator's implicit loss function aligns with the causal effect itself. AI

RANK_REASON Academic paper published on arXiv detailing new theoretical findings in causal estimation. [lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=1.0]

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New arXiv Paper Reveals Two Layers of Instability in Causal Estimation

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Academic paper published on arXiv detailing new theoretical findings in causal estimation. [lever_c_demoted from research: ic=1 ai=1.0]
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  1. arXiv stat.ML TIER_1 English(EN) · Alexis Bellot ·

    Two Layers of Instability in Causal Estimation

    arXiv:2606.21185v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: There is a precise sense in which drawing causal inferences from observational data is hard, even when identifiability is assumed. In particular, Robins and Ritov (1997) and Robins et al. (2003) showed that causal effects can be…