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中文(ZH) 摩根士丹利称美债收益率曲线可能将再次趋陡

Morgan Stanley predicts US Treasury yield curve steepening on weak jobs data

Morgan Stanley strategists predict a potential steepening of the US Treasury yield curve, citing persistent weakness in US employment data. They suggest this could lead the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates steady until March. The strategists point to a widening gap between consumers' perceived unemployment rate and the official figure as evidence of deteriorating confidence in the job market, which may surprise optimistic investors. AI

RANK_REASON The item is an opinion piece from a financial institution about economic trends, not a direct release or product announcement.

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Morgan Stanley predicts US Treasury yield curve steepening on weak jobs data

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  1. 36氪 (36Kr) TIER_1 中文(ZH) ·

    Morgan Stanley says US Treasury yield curve may steepen again

    摩根士丹利称,鉴于美国就业数据可能维持疲软态势,促使美联储按兵不动至3月,美国国债收益率曲线可能再次陡化。Matthew Hornbach等策略师在报告中写道,劳动力参与率下降“推动了失业率下降,但我们的经济学家认为这种下降只是暂时波动,很可能在下个月逆转”。世界大型企业联合会的劳动力差异数据显示,消费者感受到的失业率为4.9%,而非4.2%,这是2010年(疫情除外)以来的最大差距。“消费者对就业市场的信心进一步恶化,可能会让那些对劳动力市场前景更加乐观的投资者感到意外”。(财联社)