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中文(ZH) 高盛将全球智能手机今明两年的出货量预测分别下调4%和3%

Goldman Sachs cuts smartphone shipment forecasts due to AI chip demand

Goldman Sachs has revised its global smartphone shipment forecasts downward for the next two years. The firm now anticipates a 4% decrease for the current year and a 3% decrease for the following year, projecting 1.14 billion units in 2026 and 1.17 billion in 2027. This adjustment signifies an expected 10% year-over-year decline in shipments for this year, contrasting with a previous forecast of a 6% decrease. The primary driver for this revised outlook is the increasing cost of memory chips, influenced by the surge in demand from the artificial intelligence industry. AI

IMPACT Increased demand for AI chips is impacting the supply and cost of memory chips for consumer electronics.

RANK_REASON Analysis from a financial institution about market forecasts, not a direct industry event.

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Goldman Sachs cuts smartphone shipment forecasts due to AI chip demand

COVERAGE [1]

  1. 36氪 (36Kr) TIER_1 中文(ZH) ·

    Goldman Sachs lowers global smartphone shipment forecasts for this year and next by 4% and 3% respectively

    高盛将全球智能手机今明两年的出货量预测分别下调4%和3%,至2026年11.4亿台和2027年11.7亿台,这意味着高盛预计今年智能手机出货量将同比去年下降10%,2027年则同比增长3%。此前该机构的预测是今年手机出货量同比下降6%,而明年同比上升2%。此外,高盛还预计2028年的智能手机出货量为11.8亿台,同比2027年增长1%。高盛认为,其展望趋软主要归因于内存芯片成本上升。由于人工智能行业的需求激增导致芯片供应紧张,促使主要内存芯片制造商将更多产能转向服务AI产业,而消费电子领域所需的内存芯片产能更加短缺。(财联社)