Full automation of AI R&D probably yields a large speed up even without a software-only singularity
The automation of AI research and development is predicted to significantly accelerate progress, even without a full "software-only singularity." This acceleration stems from a substantial one-time speed-up gained from automation itself, potentially yielding years of progress within a single year. Furthermore, increased compute power will yield greater returns as AIs, rather than humans, drive R&D, creating a feedback loop where better AIs lead to even more efficient utilization of resources and faster advancements. AI
IMPACT Predicts a significant acceleration in AI progress due to automation and improved compute utilization.