The Cognitive Kardashev Scale: Quantifying the Material Envelope of Civilisational Computation
Researchers have proposed a new framework called the Cognitive Kardashev Scale to measure the computational capacity of civilizations. This scale, analogous to the power-based Kardashev scale, quantifies the amount of sustained AI-grade computation a civilization could support based on its total energy output and computational efficiency. Current humanity is estimated to be at approximately 0.73 on this scale, with projections indicating significant increases in computational power by 2035, though the ultimate limits may be dictated by energy availability, efficiency, or political factors. AI
IMPACT Proposes a novel metric for assessing the future computational capacity of civilizations, potentially guiding long-term AI development and resource allocation.