CITIC Securities: Non-farm data leads market to reprice Fed policy path, Fed may keep rates unchanged this year
CITIC Securities noted that the US unemployment rate for May 2026 was 4.3%, aligning with expectations, while non-farm payrolls significantly exceeded forecasts, largely driven by the leisure and hospitality sector. Strong employment demand was also reflected in other data points like ADP and JOLTS, with S&P 500 companies mentioning layoffs less frequently in May. This robust jobs report has prompted markets to re-evaluate the Federal Reserve's policy path, leading CITIC Securities to predict that the Fed will maintain current interest rates for the remainder of the year. The firm also highlighted potential market uncertainty if the Fed decides to discontinue the release of its dot plot at the upcoming June meeting. AI