China’s rise will turn Thucydides Trap on its head
A new AI research paper proposes a method for generating causal fuzzy cognitive maps from text using large language models like Gemini 3.1. These maps, which model relationships between concepts, can predict outcomes and were applied to the Thucydides Trap theory of conflict between dominant and rising powers. Separately, public perception of AI differs significantly between the US and China, with Chinese citizens showing much higher optimism and trust despite concerns about job loss, a sentiment linked to past economic upheavals. This contrast highlights differing societal responses to technological disruption and potential geopolitical implications. AI
IMPACT AI's role in modeling geopolitical conflict and differing public trust in AI between the US and China highlight its growing influence on international relations and societal attitudes.